fleischsandwich

0x4c35e8...4aafa8

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.5%

Total P&L

+$6.7K

Trade Count

1,547

Sharpe Ratio

0.99

Sortino Ratio

11.65

Max Drawdown

317.3%

ROI

16.9%

Profit Factor

6.97

Kelly Fraction

0.381

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the winner of the Bosnia and Herzegovina/Italy/Northern Ireland/Wales playoff win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	52.0¢	1.93	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	SELL	69.7¢	20.45	Mar 5
Will the winner of the Bosnia and Herzegovina/Italy/Northern Ireland/Wales playoff win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	1.927	Mar 5
Will the winner of the Bosnia and Herzegovina/Italy/Northern Ireland/Wales playoff win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	52.0¢	2.13	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	44.0¢	10.91	Mar 5
Will the winner of the Bosnia and Herzegovina/Italy/Northern Ireland/Wales playoff win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	2.127	Mar 5
Will the winner of the Bosnia and Herzegovina/Italy/Northern Ireland/Wales playoff win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	52.0¢	8.5	Mar 5
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	3.65	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	29.0¢	3.1	Mar 5
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	35.0¢	7.08	Mar 5
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	SELL	91.0¢	3.5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	45.0¢	5.57	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?	SELL	34.0¢	5.59	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	12.2¢	3.54	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	71.0¢	3.48	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	74.7¢	42.52	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	73.6¢	25.76	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	73.6¢	24.47	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	74.4¢	24.46	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	73.3¢	2.78	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.7%

Win Consistency51.9%

Profit Factor1.22

Drawdown Resilience0.98

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98

Weekly Sharpe est.0.75

Trading Activity1,547 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,30114d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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