FortunaFelix

0x370c67...923eb1

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.9%

Total P&L

+$1.7K

Trade Count

3,720

Sharpe Ratio

0.31

Sortino Ratio

28.19

Max Drawdown

219.9%

ROI

10.0%

Profit Factor

1.77

Kelly Fraction

0.199

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	8.5¢	35.09	Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	3.2¢	40	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.7¢	30	Mar 5
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	2.38	Mar 5
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	4.87	Mar 5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	13.1¢	30.37	Mar 4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.3¢	612.19	Mar 4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.3¢	1.21	Mar 4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.3¢	1.29	Mar 4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.3¢	333.333	Mar 4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.3¢	1.11	Mar 4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	SELL	80.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.3¢	1.26	Mar 4
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs	BUY	60.0¢	5	Mar 4
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs	BUY	63.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	13.0¢	30.37	Mar 4
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	91.4¢	5	Mar 4
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BUY	48.0¢	4.729	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	9.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	26.0¢	8.32	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.6%

Win Consistency42.2%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity3,720 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,8803d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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