FourthHayley

0x048651...cac9c7

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.0%

Total P&L

-$7

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

0.15

Max Drawdown

15.3%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.84

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	1,297.105	Mar 5
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.9¢	267.237	Feb 9
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	SELL	99.6¢	252.88	Feb 8
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	252.888	Feb 8
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.79	Feb 8
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8.31	Feb 8
XRP Up or Down - February 4, 11PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	20.83	Feb 4
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	270.64	Feb 4
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	270.64	Feb 3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	11.02	Feb 3
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.8¢	247.43	Feb 2
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	247.437	Feb 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	17.92	Feb 1
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.7¢	256.92	Feb 1
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.8¢	256.924	Jan 30
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	12.36	Jan 30
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.13	Jan 30
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	247.64	Jan 29
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	247.647	Jan 29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in January?	SELL	99.8¢	217.71	Jan 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.90

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.5%

Win Consistency48.0%

Profit Factor0.90

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.55

Trading Activity43 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$4048d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue