friendly-farmer

0x00d91e...83b547

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.2%

Total P&L

+$34

Trade Count

287

Sharpe Ratio

0.41

Sortino Ratio

12.59

Max Drawdown

404.4%

ROI

6.1%

Profit Factor

1.29

Kelly Fraction

0.089

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	85.5¢	1.49	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	40.0¢	1.92	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	87.6¢	2.7	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	40.0¢	2.5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?	BUY	48.0¢	2.083	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	7.5¢	7.69	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	62.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	SELL	10.0¢	3.22	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?	SELL	19.0¢	2.77	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 6?	SELL	73.0¢	2.85	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?	SELL	33.0¢	3.57	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	61.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	BUY	82.0¢	3.93	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?	BUY	84.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	BUY	82.0¢	1.07	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?	SELL	14.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	71.0¢	1.42	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	53.1¢	1.92	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.1%

Win Consistency47.0%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity287 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$1985d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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