futuristicbaguette

0x7a094c...6014b3

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.4%

Total P&L

+$111

Trade Count

526

Sharpe Ratio

-2.27

Sortino Ratio

-2.02

Max Drawdown

431194.2%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

1.87

Kelly Fraction

0.450

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	30.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	30.56	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	30.56	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 5?	SELL	99.8¢	30.56	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	97.3¢	25.71	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	97.9¢	30.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	30.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	32.13	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	30.56	Mar 5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 5?	BUY	96.0¢	30.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	30.56	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?	SELL	99.8¢	17.42	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	30.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	30.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	30.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	30.56	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	17.42	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?	BUY	96.9¢	30.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 5?	SELL	99.9¢	30.56	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	30.3	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%

Win Consistency39.8%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity526 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,0057d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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