FY54UYYTR

0x09cfb4...cd0975

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.1%

Total P&L

+$31

Trade Count

487

Sharpe Ratio

-1.79

Sortino Ratio

-1.66

Max Drawdown

224787.7%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

4.87

Kelly Fraction

0.518

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	9.61	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	78.2¢	7.42	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	82.0¢	11.8	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.7¢	10.19	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	10.2	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.1¢	10.72	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.3¢	10.718	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	10.204	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	13.72	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	10.05	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	8.081	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	11.765	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ET	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	67.0¢	11.94	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	7.407	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET	BUY	99.4¢	10.06	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ET	BUY	97.2¢	5.144	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.7¢	10.165	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	6.13	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.8%

Win Consistency42.8%

Profit Factor0.62

Drawdown Resilience0.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50

Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Trading Activity487 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

$55710d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue