Fyrian

0x2af7e3...dca980

Smart Score

Win Rate

96.0%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

122

Sharpe Ratio

-0.49

Sortino Ratio

-0.45

Max Drawdown

949.8%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.28

Kelly Fraction

0.210

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	29.049	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.5¢	33.327	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	13.287	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	16.596	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	16.596	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	24.904	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	24.905	Feb 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.8¢	16.613	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	16.596	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.9¢	24.904	Feb 24
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboys	BUY	92.0¢	2.674	Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	16.596	Feb 21
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers	BUY	99.8¢	3.307	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	24.904	Feb 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20?	BUY	99.8¢	12.455	Feb 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	20.74	Feb 18
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	BUY	98.7¢	4.184	Feb 18
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	BUY	95.0¢	2.6	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	24.904	Feb 17
Howard Bison vs. Delaware State Hornets	BUY	99.8¢	8.297	Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.9%

Win Consistency17.2%

Profit Factor0.31

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity122 trades · 68 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,3581d profit67d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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