GabrielRaphael

0x699590...2f74df

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.00

Sortino Ratio

-0.00

Max Drawdown

551.1%

ROI

1.2%

Profit Factor

4.82

Kelly Fraction

0.396

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	63.0¢	2.841	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	63.0¢	2.587	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?	BUY	58.0¢	2.241	Feb 8
Cavaliers vs. Suns	BUY	52.0¢	2	Jan 29
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers	BUY	55.0¢	5.1	Dec 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 22?	BUY	99.9¢	1,003.003	Nov 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 21?	BUY	0.2¢	1,005	Nov 21
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?	SELL	48.0¢	0.42	Oct 3
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?	BUY	49.0¢	0.429	Oct 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	49.1¢	20.896	Sep 29

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.5%

Win Consistency62.5%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity7 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0130d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue