0x965f3c...af50de

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.8%

Total P&L

+$1.7K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.24

Sortino Ratio

1.51

Max Drawdown

115.7%

ROI

15.0%

Profit Factor

1.82

Kelly Fraction

0.251

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Solana reach $130 in March?	BUY	91.2¢	1.206	Mar 5
Will BNB reach $1,000 in March?	BUY	98.7¢	2.513	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?	BUY	96.3¢	50	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?	BUY	98.5¢	50	Mar 5
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.8¢	40	Mar 1
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.8¢	40	Mar 1
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	61.0¢	85.27	Mar 1
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	38.0¢	47.85	Mar 1
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.4¢	49.93	Mar 1
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	61.0¢	928.86	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	46.0¢	2.283	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	32.0¢	3.438	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	33.0¢	3.333	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	32.0¢	3.438	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	32.0¢	3.438	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	32.0¢	3.438	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	7.857	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	3.1¢	35.484	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	2.7¢	40.741	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	3.056	Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.2%

Win Consistency51.3%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,4144d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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