ganesha01

0x6caf0c...f72799@gaurvv_1

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.0%

Total P&L

+$923

Trade Count

1,139

Sharpe Ratio

0.44

Sortino Ratio

78.91

Max Drawdown

232.8%

ROI

29.0%

Profit Factor

3.96

Kelly Fraction

0.351

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	SELL	95.0¢	36.51	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	BUY	53.9¢	37.089	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	37.067	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	SELL	98.0¢	52.06	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	BUY	96.0¢	52.083	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	BUY	51.9¢	96.314	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	SELL	92.0¢	68.76	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	BUY	72.0¢	69.469	Mar 5
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	0.1¢	989.7	Mar 3
Will Trump say "European Union" or "EU" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	0.1¢	10.3	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.0¢	1.2	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	93.0¢	1.07	Mar 3
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	SELL	72.0¢	1.32	Mar 3
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	SELL	59.0¢	1.59	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	1.22	Mar 3
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	SELL	98.9¢	1.11	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	37.4¢	2.91	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	1.34	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	1.38	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	107.59	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.0%

Win Consistency42.7%

Profit Factor1.06

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity1,139 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$26011d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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