garbagecollect1

0x553324...8251ba
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
38.5%
Total P&L
+$496
Trade Count
3,982
Sharpe Ratio
2.24
Sortino Ratio
47.86
Max Drawdown
1353.3%
ROI
10.5%
Profit Factor
5.17
Kelly Fraction
0.310
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
050/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 10?SELL1.9¢5.01Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 6?BUY0.2¢6.72Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 6?BUY1.2¢10.12Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?SELL0.3¢207.24Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?BUY3.0¢7.17Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?BUY3.0¢160.825Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?SELL1.1¢10Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?BUY1.2¢11.19Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 6?BUY0.4¢50Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 6?BUY0.4¢6.476Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 7?SELL0.2¢679.77Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 6?BUY0.2¢110.22Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 6?BUY0.2¢111.924Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 6?BUY0.2¢110.251Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?SELL0.4¢200Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 6?BUY0.4¢5.1Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 6?BUY0.2¢25.42Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 6?BUY0.2¢25.42Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 6?BUY0.2¢25.42Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 6?BUY0.2¢25.42Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%100%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing50

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.5%
Win Consistency58.5%
Profit Factor1.30
Drawdown Resilience1.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.80
Trading Activity3,982 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$2034d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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