Gasstake

0x3849d4...b24b79

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

-$34

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.46

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

1954.9%

ROI

-5.5%

Profit Factor

0.70

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	52.0¢	38.462	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	45.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	28.0¢	40	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	41.667	Mar 3
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?	BUY	59.0¢	30	Mar 2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	30	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	28.57	Feb 28
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	26.0¢	60	Feb 27
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	SELL	91.3¢	60	Feb 27
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	BUY	66.0¢	8.66	Feb 24
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	BUY	66.0¢	51.34	Feb 24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	95.5¢	72.62	Feb 22
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	BUY	56.9¢	52.684	Feb 17
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	BUY	56.0¢	7.143	Feb 17
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	BUY	77.0¢	64.935	Feb 17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	68.8¢	72.624	Feb 17
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	BUY	5.5¢	18.182	Feb 14
Government shutdown on Saturday?	BUY	74.0¢	67.568	Feb 13
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?	BUY	37.0¢	94.595	Feb 12
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?	BUY	48.0¢	39	Jan 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.7%

Win Consistency62.5%

Profit Factor0.19

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity24 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$2863d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue