0xa46a42...539763

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.6%

Total P&L

+$286

Trade Count

193

Sharpe Ratio

-0.38

Sortino Ratio

-0.56

Max Drawdown

496.0%

ROI

7.6%

Profit Factor

37.78

Kelly Fraction

0.687

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	15.0¢	3.7	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	16.0¢	1.68	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	1.68	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	18.0¢	3.12	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.6¢	1.56	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	9.78	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.5¢	15.26	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.6¢	3.23	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	86.7¢	30.1	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	44.0¢	25	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	87.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?	BUY	92.0¢	4.775	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	89.8¢	28.09	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	89.8¢	22.647	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	88.8¢	10	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	90.2¢	20	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	80.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.8¢	124.99	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.4¢	25	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.5¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.8%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity193 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$6822d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue