GavinCraigie

0x5500bb...39cf07

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.9%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.03

Max Drawdown

1.9%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

29.98

Kelly Fraction

0.859

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

055/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	1.1¢	106.75	Mar 5
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	18.91	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	25.61	Feb 11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	99.3¢	24.43	Jan 31
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.7¢	27	Jan 23
Will Apple reach $360 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	21.7	Jan 17
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?	BUY	99.2¢	18.7	Jan 17
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 15, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	12	Jan 9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	98.4¢	23.374	Dec 27

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active55

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.0%

Win Consistency77.8%

Profit Factor1.43

Drawdown Resilience1.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.88

Trading Activity9 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1710d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue