gbnes

0x38c326...a047a1

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.18

Sortino Ratio

2.03

Max Drawdown

44.8%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1143.41

Kelly Fraction

0.856

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

061.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	14.07	Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on March 1?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Feb 27
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	12.085	Feb 25
Will Partido Popular win <25 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?	BUY	99.6¢	7.028	Feb 6
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	SELL	99.8¢	1,295.5	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	32	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	600	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	1,020	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	1,030	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	700	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	600	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	500	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	700	Jan 27
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	143.143	Dec 28
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.7¢	1.013	Dec 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active61.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)56.0%

Win Consistency71.4%

Profit Factor1.60

Drawdown Resilience1.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.98

Trading Activity15 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,0571d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue