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gemn

0x6995a1...92c072
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
38.7%
Total P&L
+$264
Trade Count
655
Sharpe Ratio
0.62
Sortino Ratio
12.55
Max Drawdown
86.7%
ROI
6.7%
Profit Factor
2.35
Kelly Fraction
0.222
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL73.0¢6.31Mar 5
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL61.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL15.8¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY57.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY60.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL68.0¢106.48Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL59.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY57.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL55.0¢45Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY68.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL55.0¢45Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY67.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY67.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY67.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY67.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY67.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY67.0¢10Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL67.0¢7Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL67.0¢63.1Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY66.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%4%10–20%5%20–30%43%30–50%31%50–70%3%70–80%3%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.1%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity655 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3866d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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