ggdoug

0x1b27d2...528d42

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.8%

Total P&L

-$67

Trade Count

128

Sharpe Ratio

0.22

Sortino Ratio

1.62

Max Drawdown

1148.1%

ROI

-2.9%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	81.0¢	4.938	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	33.9¢	5.9	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	39.7¢	5.038	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	66.5¢	13.42	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	5.882	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	30.0¢	16.667	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	78.0¢	25.633	Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	89.0¢	33.708	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	49.0¢	4.082	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	75.0¢	14.667	Mar 1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	81.0¢	6.173	Mar 1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	14.9¢	13.422	Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	47.4¢	8.439	Mar 1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	BUY	38.0¢	7.69	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	102.143	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	80.0¢	6.25	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	65.0¢	7.692	Mar 1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.4¢	48.37	Feb 27
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	97.6¢	48.371	Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.0%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.31

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity128 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,4519d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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