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0x0c1dd0...e7530b
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
61.0%
Total P&L
-$7
Trade Count
260
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Sortino Ratio
4.66
Max Drawdown
7718.8%
ROI
-2.5%
Profit Factor
-0.23
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?BUY98.8¢1.012Mar 5
Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL90.2¢1.08Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?SELL90.0¢1.07Feb 26
Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY92.0¢1.087Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 26
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL70.0¢1.36Feb 19
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY74.0¢1.351Feb 19
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL74.0¢1.33Feb 17
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY1.0¢100Feb 17
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL71.8¢1.35Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY74.0¢1.351Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL96.2¢1.04Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY96.5¢1.036Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL71.0¢1.33Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?SELL81.0¢1.22Feb 12
Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY82.0¢1.22Feb 12
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL73.0¢2.67Feb 11
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY75.0¢1.333Feb 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%28%50–70%21%70–80%10%80–90%25%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.93
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.4%
Win Consistency46.7%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.35
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity260 trades · 65 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$95d profit60d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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