GillBehrends

0x2906e6...520e5a

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.8%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.99

Sortino Ratio

8.41

Max Drawdown

0.6%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1366.47

Kelly Fraction

0.937

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

081/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	20	Mar 5
Will XRP reach $3.60 in January?	BUY	99.5¢	12.7	Jan 16
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?	BUY	99.2¢	13	Jan 15
Will Solana reach $200 in January?	BUY	98.1¢	20	Jan 12
Will Solana reach $210 in January?	BUY	98.8¢	20	Jan 9
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?	BUY	98.9¢	18	Jan 8
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	19	Jan 7
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BUY	99.7¢	19	Jan 5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?	BUY	98.5¢	22.62	Dec 21
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	23	Dec 17
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	28	Dec 11
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	23	Dec 10
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	24	Dec 6
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?	BUY	99.6¢	13	Nov 18
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?	BUY	99.6¢	12	Nov 10
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	99.5¢	11,999.91	Nov 6
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.4¢	11,999.91	Nov 6

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro81

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)73.7%

Win Consistency87.5%

Profit Factor2.11

Drawdown Resilience1.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.70

Weekly Sharpe est.1.30

Trading Activity17 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$2741d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue