giuggi

0x13450c...19e4de
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
66.5%
Total P&L
+$264
Trade Count
708
Sharpe Ratio
0.62
Sortino Ratio
15.92
Max Drawdown
156.5%
ROI
9.8%
Profit Factor
1.45
Kelly Fraction
0.205
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
035.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY73.0¢6.85Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?BUY93.0¢5.38Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 6?BUY81.0¢6.17Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 6?BUY81.0¢6.17Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?BUY83.0¢6.02Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 6?BUY85.0¢5.88Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY74.0¢6.76Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY92.0¢5.43Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY93.0¢5.38Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY89.0¢5.62Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY89.0¢5.62Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY75.0¢6.67Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY94.0¢5.32Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY89.0¢5.62Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?BUY79.0¢6.33Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 5?BUY65.0¢7.69Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY76.0¢6.58Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?BUY92.0¢5.43Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY93.0¢5.38Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?BUY67.0¢7.46Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%3%10–20%20–30%11%30–50%17%50–70%18%70–80%22%80–90%20%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.7%
Win Consistency63.4%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity708 trades · 31 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2,6440d profit31d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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