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GKK2

0x1ed4da...66ff24
Smart Score
61
Win Rate
72.7%
Total P&L
+$4.2K
Trade Count
33
Sharpe Ratio
0.57
Sortino Ratio
1.05
Max Drawdown
47.8%
ROI
9.4%
Profit Factor
3.28
Kelly Fraction
0.505
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
060.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY73.0¢2,000Feb 24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL90.0¢6,359.08Feb 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY71.0¢6,359.08Jan 13
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?SELL91.0¢4,966.69Oct 4
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?BUY79.3¢4,966.694Oct 2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?SELL86.0¢3,457.65Sep 4
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?SELL40.3¢2,390.49Jul 24
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY55.0¢2,390.491Jul 15
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?SELL95.9¢1,370.86Jul 15
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?BUY83.0¢1,370.867Jun 27
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?SELL31.4¢3,618.4Jun 27
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY68.8¢3,618.402May 26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?BUY26.6¢3,457.66May 26
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?SELL97.3¢3,801.94Feb 13
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY72.6¢3,801.942Jan 16
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?SELL96.4¢1,466Jan 16
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?SELL16.0¢1,378.75Dec 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?SELL16.0¢31.25Dec 18
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?BUY72.0¢1,062Dec 12
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?BUY24.0¢500Dec 12

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%25%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%30%70–80%25%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active60.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.34
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)55.3%
Win Consistency81.8%
Profit Factor1.58
Drawdown Resilience1.28
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.28
Weekly Sharpe est.0.97
Trading Activity13 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$8544d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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