Graceyt

0x72fb20...03e092

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.1%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

162

Sharpe Ratio

1.21

Sortino Ratio

1.24

Max Drawdown

15.4%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.00

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	34.197	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	34.13	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	34.134	Mar 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	34.13	Mar 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	34.134	Feb 28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	34.13	Feb 28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	34.134	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	34.24	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	34.248	Feb 26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	34.25	Feb 26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	34.254	Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	SELL	99.9¢	34.25	Feb 25
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	98.4¢	34.258	Feb 24
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	33.78	Feb 24
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	33.788	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	33.79	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	33.793	Feb 21
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	33.82	Feb 21
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	33.823	Feb 20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.5¢	35.02	Feb 20

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.2%

Win Consistency75.3%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity162 trades · 85 active days

P&L Calendar

$10915d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue