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Grokius

Grokius

0x001366...ad3c30
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
16.5%
Total P&L
+$789
Trade Count
1,522
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Sortino Ratio
13.12
Max Drawdown
124.0%
ROI
1.1%
Profit Factor
1.05
Kelly Fraction
0.007
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5AM ETBUY37.0¢27.027Mar 5
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?BUY62.0¢32.258Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY20.0¢10Mar 5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?BUY10.0¢50Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ETBUY39.5¢12.66Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY21.0¢23.81Mar 5
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5¢200Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL2.7¢127.27Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY43.7¢22.883Mar 4
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?BUY20.0¢25Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 5?BUY32.5¢9.242Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?BUY8.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY2.1¢47.354Mar 4
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?BUY2.6¢37.79Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY2.9¢34.483Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY2.2¢45.435Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY27.0¢16.444Feb 19
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?SELL59.0¢7.53Feb 19
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times in Rome, GA on February 19?BUY56.0¢7.536Feb 19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3PM ETBUY15.0¢6.667Feb 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%20%10–20%13%20–30%12%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.05
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.4%
Win Consistency39.1%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.40
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity1,522 trades · 133 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9,21535d profit82d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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