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guanyinglei1

0x07e617...494465
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
48.0%
Total P&L
+$25
Trade Count
46
Sharpe Ratio
-0.65
Sortino Ratio
-0.68
Max Drawdown
252.9%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
5.05
Kelly Fraction
0.385
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY2.0¢270Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?BUY98.6¢248.844Feb 24
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY98.4¢245.356Jan 26
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY94.6¢240Jan 21
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.5¢210Jan 16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.7¢210Jan 13
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL94.9¢240Jan 12
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY95.3¢240Jan 9
Maduro out in 2025?BUY97.5¢229.815Dec 24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY96.4¢224.066Dec 10
Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL98.7¢218.84Dec 8
Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY98.8¢218.846Dec 5
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.9¢300Dec 3
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.8¢300Dec 2
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL92.5¢230Dec 1
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY92.5¢230Nov 30
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL2.0¢240Nov 28
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY2.0¢240Nov 26
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?SELL94.0¢220Nov 25
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?BUY94.6¢220Nov 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%46%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.17
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.3%
Win Consistency42.3%
Profit Factor0.55
Drawdown Resilience0.45
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity46 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,16820d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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