guymiron

0x1d1bc0...ac6cc0

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.6%

Total P&L

+$329

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.30

Sortino Ratio

0.49

Max Drawdown

55.2%

ROI

2.6%

Profit Factor

3.14

Kelly Fraction

0.434

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	34.15	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	BUY	29.0¢	34.517	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	21.7¢	304	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	304	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.1¢	595	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.2¢	5.82	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	41.0¢	336.28	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	25.8¢	336.28	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	74.0¢	255.39	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	16.3¢	144.46	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	66.6¢	255.391	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	16.3¢	927.54	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	86.0¢	4,267.7	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	17.4¢	496.954	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	17.4¢	574.713	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	5.0¢	176.23	Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	SELL	99.9¢	177.83	Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	73.0¢	177.836	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	34.0¢	176.23	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.1%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor1.29

Drawdown Resilience1.04

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04

Weekly Sharpe est.0.79

Trading Activity42 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$7172d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue