GVHFDGH34GD

0x1860fb...9e513f

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.0%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

461

Sharpe Ratio

-2.04

Sortino Ratio

-1.81

Max Drawdown

12357.4%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

2.03

Kelly Fraction

0.319

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.8¢	9.662	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	82.0¢	7.32	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	15.306	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	7.317	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	10.05	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.5¢	10.05	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	5.16	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	5.16	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	5.17	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	7.21	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	15.38	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	8.2	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.7¢	7.23	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.8¢	7.231	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	76.0¢	6.12	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	97.9¢	6.129	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	14.75	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	61.0¢	14.754	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	9.091	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	68.0¢	8.83	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%

Win Consistency46.4%

Profit Factor0.31

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity461 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$41711d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue