GwyneiraStar

0x05a497...aaaec9@ivmjr57542222
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
+$11
Trade Count
75
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07
Sortino Ratio
-0.04
Max Drawdown
952.0%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
027.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?BUY99.6¢36.888Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY99.2¢21.169Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 54°F or higher on February 27?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 27?BUY99.9¢5.005Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?BUY99.9¢36.557Feb 11
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?BUY99.9¢35.035Feb 3
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?BUY94.0¢1.064Feb 3
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY99.9¢33.403Jan 31
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?BUY95.7¢32.393Jan 19
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?BUY99.4¢1.006Jan 19
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY99.3¢1.007Jan 19
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY99.9¢1.001Jan 19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 12?BUY99.9¢34.034Jan 12
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?BUY98.9¢28.301Dec 24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?BUY98.0¢28.633Dec 18
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY99.7¢2.006Dec 18
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?BUY99.7¢2.006Dec 18
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?BUY99.3¢31.057Dec 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 10?BUY99.9¢1.001Dec 10
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%99%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.0%
Win Consistency73.3%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity66 trades · 25 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,1400d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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