h61z7gmh

0x3aac18...7b779e
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
96.6%
Total P&L
-$2
Trade Count
274
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Sortino Ratio
0.39
Max Drawdown
1000.0%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
143.25
Kelly Fraction
0.959
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
035.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?BUY96.4¢51.11Mar 5
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL95.6¢50.44Mar 5
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY95.9¢50.44Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL95.7¢57.49Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY96.0¢57.49Mar 4
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL96.2¢60.79Mar 4
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY96.3¢60.79Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL97.2¢52.81Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.2¢52.81Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL97.1¢50.83Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.4¢50.83Mar 3
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL92.7¢49.29Mar 3
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY92.3¢49.29Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.7¢52.09Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.8¢52.09Mar 2
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?SELL97.3¢52.18Feb 12
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?BUY97.4¢52.18Feb 12
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?SELL97.7¢57.55Feb 12
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?BUY97.9¢57.55Feb 12
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL95.2¢60.31Feb 12
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.5%
Win Consistency39.7%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity274 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5610d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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