hannah88

0x157293...e58092
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
85.5%
Total P&L
+$99
Trade Count
120
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Sortino Ratio
-0.14
Max Drawdown
224.8%
ROI
1.7%
Profit Factor
1.33
Kelly Fraction
0.211
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.8¢39.269Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢18.698Mar 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?BUY99.9¢4.104Feb 27
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?BUY99.9¢7.817Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.8¢40.741Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?BUY99.8¢15.641Feb 21
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY95.0¢38.589Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?BUY99.1¢25.419Feb 15
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?BUY99.9¢22.442Jan 30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.8¢231.25Jan 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY96.4¢38.154Jan 18
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY95.0¢10.063Jan 14
Trump out as President in 2025?BUY99.7¢4.794Dec 27
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY99.2¢23.296Dec 23
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY93.0¢12.301Dec 7
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY83.0¢4.735Nov 25
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?SELL73.7¢34.09Aug 20
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?BUY98.8¢21.356Jul 27
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?BUY83.0¢34.096Jul 12
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?BUY40.8¢310.419Jul 3
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%6%30–50%8%50–70%4%70–80%3%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.4%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor0.47
Drawdown Resilience0.38
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38
Weekly Sharpe est.0.29
Trading Activity82 trades · 62 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$96816d profit46d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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