HappyDay

0x47333b...bb4a6f

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.5%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.38

Sortino Ratio

-0.44

Max Drawdown

3642.8%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

0.78

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	30.983	Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $60 in January?	BUY	99.6¢	30.894	Jan 4
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?	BUY	99.4¢	30.765	Nov 20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?	BUY	99.1¢	30.585	Aug 21
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?	SELL	0.3¢	30.22	May 23
Will Solana reach $250 in April?	BUY	99.7¢	30.221	Apr 19
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	30.13	Mar 19
Will Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?	SELL	99.9¢	30.13	Feb 17
Will Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	30.13	Feb 14
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by January 31, 2025?	SELL	99.8¢	30.13	Jan 17
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by January 31, 2025?	BUY	99.4¢	30.13	Jan 2
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?	SELL	99.8¢	12	Dec 28
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?	SELL	99.8¢	18.01	Dec 27
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?	BUY	99.7¢	18.01	Dec 27
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?	BUY	99.7¢	12	Dec 27
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?	SELL	99.7¢	30.01	Dec 25
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?	BUY	99.7¢	30.01	Dec 25
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	SELL	99.5¢	30.07	Dec 23
Will there be a US Government shutdown?	BUY	99.4¢	30.07	Dec 21
Will $MOODENG be listed first on Coinbase?	SELL	99.9¢	13	Dec 6

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.7%

Win Consistency38.7%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity6 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1531d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue