haykarabyan

0x1a28a9...d00d27

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.2%

Total P&L

+$20

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.36

Sortino Ratio

0.50

Max Drawdown

50.1%

ROI

7.7%

Profit Factor

1.50

Kelly Fraction

0.208

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	BUY	76.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Claude go down 9-10 times in March?	BUY	83.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Claude go down 11+ times in March?	BUY	92.0¢	5.435	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	87.8¢	7.836	Mar 4
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	BUY	34.0¢	14.706	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	47.0¢	6.383	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	35.0¢	10.69	Mar 3
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	9.43	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	55.0¢	10.691	Feb 28
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in February?	SELL	4.3¢	20.33	Feb 24
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?	BUY	80.0¢	10	Feb 22
Will Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?	BUY	53.0¢	9.434	Feb 22
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	7.463	Feb 22
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in February?	BUY	14.8¢	20.331	Feb 22
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	SELL	39.0¢	28.2	Feb 22
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	BUY	63.0¢	12.984	Feb 11
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?	BUY	60.0¢	8.333	Feb 11
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	SELL	0.2¢	5	Feb 9
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	SELL	2.9¢	5	Feb 8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?	BUY	54.0¢	9.259	Feb 7

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.9%

Win Consistency51.1%

Profit Factor1.25

Drawdown Resilience1.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.77

Trading Activity53 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$1965d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue