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hazony81

0x576b6b...9b6257
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
20.0%
Total P&L
+$816
Trade Count
80
Sharpe Ratio
2.50
Sortino Ratio
54.59
Max Drawdown
1461.9%
ROI
18.0%
Profit Factor
2.85
Kelly Fraction
0.130
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL7.9¢1,302.69Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY15.8¢31.62Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY15.7¢63.73Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY16.6¢1,023.878Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.2¢5,000Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY13.6¢293.714Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY17.0¢13.48Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY17.0¢120.482Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY21.9¢684.327Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY17.0¢6.024Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY17.0¢10Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY7.0¢1,000Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL95.0¢286.25Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL95.0¢811.54Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.3¢1,000Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.4¢610.204Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.5¢834.84Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.5¢1,434.17Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.5¢1,566.83Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.5¢1,164.16Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%49%< 10%28%10–20%7%20–30%15%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.8%
Win Consistency26.7%
Profit Factor0.91
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity80 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$2062d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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