hdracrypto

0x85444c...c6bd34
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
99.7%
Total P&L
+$51
Trade Count
1,763
Sharpe Ratio
-1.81
Sortino Ratio
-1.57
Max Drawdown
16793278.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
2.76
Kelly Fraction
0.636
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
021/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY99.7¢20Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?BUY99.9¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢1.08Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 5?BUY99.7¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 5?BUY99.3¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on March 5?BUY99.8¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢30Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢23.92Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY93.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY99.5¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢15.16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢12.89Mar 4
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 4?BUY99.9¢20.02Mar 4
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 4?BUY99.6¢5.09Mar 4
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.1%
Win Consistency27.3%
Profit Factor0.55
Drawdown Resilience0.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity1,763 trades · 75 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$27,0660d profit75d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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