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Hearts2Hearts

Hearts2Hearts

0x203bb6...55acd1@sellgrape
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
46.2%
Total P&L
+$26.9K
Trade Count
971
Sharpe Ratio
1.16
Sortino Ratio
40.53
Max Drawdown
2429.1%
ROI
72.4%
Profit Factor
1.84
Kelly Fraction
0.211
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?SELL12.0¢18Mar 4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY12.0¢2,630.24Mar 4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY12.0¢17.3Mar 4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY12.0¢1.898Mar 4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY12.0¢1.136Mar 4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY12.0¢1,016.42Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL27.0¢5Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY27.0¢5.2Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL27.0¢5.15Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY27.0¢5.1Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL27.0¢2,847.4Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?SELL76.8¢3,082.5Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY66.9¢9.6Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?SELL66.4¢5Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY40.0¢47.5Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY64.9¢48Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL40.0¢3Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL40.0¢5Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL40.0¢2.75Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL40.0¢12.22Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%57%< 10%8%10–20%16%20–30%13%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.6%
Win Consistency49.2%
Profit Factor0.90
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity971 trades · 30 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,3338d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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