Hedday

0x3329fa...6fdf2f

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.4%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

173

Sharpe Ratio

-0.53

Sortino Ratio

-0.41

Max Drawdown

4688.5%

ROI

2.7%

Profit Factor

100.28

Kelly Fraction

0.836

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	BUY	99.9¢	1.011	Mar 5
Will Savannah Louie win Survivor Season 50?	SELL	99.8¢	0.42	Mar 5
Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.2¢	0.83	Mar 5
Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	1.998	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	99.8¢	2	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	3.003	Mar 5
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 60 and 70?	SELL	99.3¢	3.02	Mar 5
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 60 and 70?	BUY	99.9¢	4.044	Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	1.009	Mar 5
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.8¢	5.05	Mar 5
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	6.106	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $155?	SELL	99.4¢	5.13	Mar 5
Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $155?	BUY	99.7¢	6.198	Mar 5
Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	SELL	99.7¢	8.2	Mar 5
Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	99.8¢	9.269	Mar 5
Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	9.27	Mar 5
Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.35	Mar 5
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.8¢	10.36	Mar 5
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	11.431	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.7%

Win Consistency39.3%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity156 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$330d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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