hegui
0x170eba...11e5da
Smart Score
55
Win Rate
72.7%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
11
Sharpe Ratio
1.45
Sortino Ratio
2.25
Max Drawdown
6.9%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
2.63
Kelly Fraction
0.450
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
054.8/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5? | BUY | 99.5¢ | 20.101 | Mar 5 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 1.8¢ | 1,120.481 | Mar 5 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 96.0¢ | 52.083 | Mar 5 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 99.1¢ | 50.454 | Mar 5 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 94.0¢ | 53.191 | Dec 14 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 99.3¢ | 20.141 | Dec 14 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 97.1¢ | 20.597 | Dec 14 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 97.4¢ | 20.534 | Nov 26 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 98.9¢ | 60.667 | Nov 26 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 98.6¢ | 20.284 | Nov 26 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 98.4¢ | 20.325 | Nov 26 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
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Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing54.8
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.9%
Win Consistency72.7%
Profit Factor1.42
Drawdown Resilience1.15
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.15
Weekly Sharpe est.0.88
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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