Heldenkampf

0xa0a461...82621a

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.8%

Total P&L

-$9.3K

Trade Count

3,884

Sharpe Ratio

-0.14

Sortino Ratio

-0.20

Max Drawdown

645.9%

ROI

-2.2%

Profit Factor

0.81

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	89.47	Mar 5
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	77.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	10.526	Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	79.3¢	100	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	84.0¢	128.87	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	60.0¢	47.34	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	50.0¢	75	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	51.0¢	23.67	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	51.0¢	23.67	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	71.0¢	189.94	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	72.0¢	300	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	84	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	16	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	3.57	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	71.429	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	500	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	72.88	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity1,710 trades · 164 active days

P&L Calendar

$81,17238d profit124d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue