HeraWe

0x29385b...0dcce8
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
32.4%
Total P&L
+$105
Trade Count
869
Sharpe Ratio
0.84
Sortino Ratio
2.82
Max Drawdown
264.8%
ROI
4.7%
Profit Factor
1.27
Kelly Fraction
0.069
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
018.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL63.3¢6.7Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL63.3¢8.07Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY67.4¢7.64Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 6?BUY19.0¢12.89Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY71.6¢7.19Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 6?SELL15.0¢17.6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 6?SELL5.0¢77.51Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 6?BUY5.0¢24.97Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?SELL65.0¢7.4Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY14.0¢6.2Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?BUY65.0¢3.03Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 6?BUY16.0¢17.62Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY14.0¢19.73Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY14.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY14.0¢5.18Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 6?BUY5.0¢9.09Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?SELL9.0¢36.21Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 6?BUY5.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 6?BUY65.0¢3.343Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?BUY21.0¢9.67Mar 5
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%56%< 10%12%10–20%11%20–30%5%30–50%9%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.04
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.2%
Win Consistency48.8%
Profit Factor0.49
Drawdown Resilience0.40
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30
Trading Activity869 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3661d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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