Herr.moms

0x735fa7...cef7c7

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.5%

Total P&L

+$364

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

7.98

Sortino Ratio

1175.44

Max Drawdown

1375.0%

ROI

369.5%

Profit Factor

19.50

Kelly Fraction

0.356

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

054.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	4	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	SELL	60.0¢	6.59	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	30.0¢	6.667	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	SELL	61.1¢	2.09	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	SELL	73.0¢	3.66	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	57.0¢	3.509	Mar 4
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	BUY	21.0¢	4.762	Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	BUY	43.0¢	2.326	Mar 4
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.2¢	166.667	Mar 4
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	10.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	BUY	4.9¢	20.408	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $180?	BUY	65.0¢	1.538	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing54.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.98

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.2%

Win Consistency63.9%

Profit Factor1.41

Drawdown Resilience1.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.87

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue