heycrawdad

0x4ce6a4...7926d5

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.0%

Total P&L

-$23

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.26

Sortino Ratio

5.00

Max Drawdown

775.4%

ROI

-4.1%

Profit Factor

0.64

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	BUY	41.9¢	23.866	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	SELL	54.0¢	20	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	20.315	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	BUY	7.2¢	552.393	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	BUY	50.2¢	79.609	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	SELL	83.0¢	93.86	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	BUY	42.0¢	95.276	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	SELL	58.0¢	82.1	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	BUY	48.0¢	83.404	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	44.85	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	BUY	89.0¢	44.955	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	SELL	47.0¢	34.11	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	BUY	29.0¢	34.483	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	BUY	11.0¢	91.236	Mar 5
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	53.0¢	11.11	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	27.77	Feb 21
Avalanche vs. Utah	BUY	61.0¢	16.393	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	18.0¢	27.778	Feb 21
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	SELL	99.8¢	9.8	Feb 9
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?	BUY	55.0¢	1.818	Feb 8

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.7%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity33 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$861d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue