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0x5dba2e...a6116a

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.6%

Total P&L

+$139

Trade Count

109

Sharpe Ratio

-1.20

Sortino Ratio

-1.11

Max Drawdown

496.3%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

3.07

Kelly Fraction

0.429

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.3¢	533	Mar 5
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.4¢	533	Mar 5
Hurricanes vs. Canucks	BUY	74.0¢	148.11	Mar 4
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	SELL	99.8¢	680.78	Mar 4
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	680.78	Mar 4
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	630.51	Mar 4
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	630.51	Mar 4
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	586	Mar 4
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	586	Mar 4
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	641.6	Mar 3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	641.6	Mar 3
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	598.04	Mar 3
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	598.038	Mar 3
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	658	Mar 3
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	658	Mar 3
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	580.59	Mar 2
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	580.59	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	528.43	Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.7¢	528.435	Mar 2
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	582	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency25.4%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity109 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0772d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue