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hgik7689

0x6b39dd...a6499a
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
70.3%
Total P&L
+$192
Trade Count
303
Sharpe Ratio
-1.61
Sortino Ratio
-1.45
Max Drawdown
8050.6%
ROI
8.3%
Profit Factor
14.50
Kelly Fraction
0.655
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢5.21Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.1¢5.203Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢7.07Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢13.47Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢9.24Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢9.24Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL75.7¢7.21Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.0¢7.216Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢6.19Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢6.198Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢13.462Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢5.015Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢12.15Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢8.247Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢12.151Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢10.93Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢10.936Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY98.0¢7.143Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.3¢6.042Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢5.13Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%6%70–80%10%80–90%68%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.4%
Win Consistency38.3%
Profit Factor0.64
Drawdown Resilience0.52
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity303 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7605d profit33d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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