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HighOnTylenol

HighOnTylenol

0x22cc11...f1ef97
Smart Score
45
Win Rate
40.3%
Total P&L
+$18.0K
Trade Count
974
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Sortino Ratio
9.40
Max Drawdown
185.5%
ROI
171.9%
Profit Factor
15.60
Kelly Fraction
0.377
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
044.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY21.0¢1.51Feb 28
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY25.0¢132Feb 28
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionSELL98.0¢100Feb 28
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionBUY33.0¢100Jan 3
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?SELL78.0¢3.71Jan 1
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?SELL78.0¢1.282Dec 29
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?BUY4.0¢50Dec 27
Will Keir Starmer say "Budget" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?BUY51.0¢5Dec 24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL96.4¢0.2Dec 17
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?BUY14.0¢50Dec 17
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?BUY3.0¢35Dec 14
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?BUY4.0¢20Dec 13
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? BUY2.4¢5Dec 12
Will Leavitt say "Go" 7+ times during the next White House press briefing?SELL74.0¢5Dec 11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?BUY2.8¢9Dec 11
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?BUY6.0¢10Dec 11
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?BUY8.0¢5Dec 11
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionSELL4.0¢5Dec 11
Maduro out in 2025?SELL7.0¢5Dec 11
Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?SELL56.1¢5Dec 10

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%34%< 10%15%10–20%14%20–30%24%30–50%10%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing44.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.5%
Win Consistency56.0%
Profit Factor1.16
Drawdown Resilience0.93
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93
Weekly Sharpe est.0.71
Trading Activity974 trades · 78 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,19821d profit57d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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