hngfhrt

0x425a6d...0e4a58

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.6%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

430

Sharpe Ratio

-0.10

Sortino Ratio

-0.33

Max Drawdown

1068.7%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.49

Kelly Fraction

0.216

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.4¢	6.56	Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	6.55	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	20.02	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	20.02	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	17.08	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.5¢	17.085	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	11.55	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	78.0¢	8.67	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	9.52	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	10.26	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	8.28	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.8¢	8.264	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	9.091	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.5¢	8.25	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.9¢	8.256	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	5.16	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%

Win Consistency46.9%

Profit Factor0.36

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity430 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$5089d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue