HoraceHosea

0x62027f...28afc8

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.9%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.48

Sortino Ratio

19.14

Max Drawdown

1.0%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

179.77

Kelly Fraction

0.904

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

075.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	BUY	99.9¢	18.75	Mar 5
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	17.41	Feb 27
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?	BUY	99.3¢	20.37	Feb 11
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	24.78	Jan 31
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	16.88	Jan 22
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.5¢	25.5	Jan 22
Will Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?	BUY	99.8¢	21.4	Jan 16
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?	BUY	98.9¢	19.3	Jan 16
Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?	BUY	99.3¢	13.69	Jan 9
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31?	BUY	99.7¢	20.45	Jan 9
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	32.032	Dec 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro75.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.0%

Win Consistency81.8%

Profit Factor1.97

Drawdown Resilience1.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.59

Weekly Sharpe est.1.21

Trading Activity11 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$2290d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue