Horn-496

0x33e5d0...d92ff2

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.01

Sortino Ratio

0.01

Max Drawdown

1952.2%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.16

Kelly Fraction

0.083

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.6¢	4.016	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	401.2	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Feb 28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	401.203	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?	BUY	99.6¢	55.221	Oct 11
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	18.367	Oct 11
Will Solana reach $220 in June?	BUY	99.7¢	50.15	Jun 22
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?	BUY	34.0¢	2.941	Jun 22
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.3¢	101.712	Mar 6
Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?	BUY	71.0¢	2.817	Mar 6
Will Donald Trump say "Solana" during Crypto Summit on Friday?	BUY	46.0¢	2.174	Mar 6
Will Donald Trump say "Coin" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?	BUY	41.0¢	2.439	Mar 6
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 10+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?	BUY	69.0¢	1.449	Mar 6
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 6
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?	BUY	95.0¢	59.347	Dec 26
Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?	BUY	66.0¢	10.606	Dec 26
US bank failure before December?	BUY	95.5¢	41.958	Nov 20
Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century?	BUY	88.0¢	11.364	Nov 20
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	BUY	86.0¢	81.395	Nov 20

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.0%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor0.31

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity9 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$1211d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue