howtos

0x0603cb...5e97d6

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.1%

Total P&L

-$59

Trade Count

1,109

Sharpe Ratio

-0.49

Sortino Ratio

-0.89

Max Drawdown

265886.3%

ROI

-0.8%

Profit Factor

0.81

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	6.323	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.889	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 5?	BUY	99.2¢	5.887	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 5?	BUY	99.1¢	5.884	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.879	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 6?	BUY	99.3¢	5.861	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.869	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	99.3¢	5.861	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.879	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.869	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.879	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.879	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.859	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.859	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.869	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.869	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	5.071	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	5.828	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?	BUY	99.0¢	5.808	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 4?	BUY	99.3¢	5.74	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.7%

Win Consistency43.8%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity1,109 trades · 60 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,8800d profit60d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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