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HRTFGH34

0x21501d...0025ba
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
66.2%
Total P&L
+$20
Trade Count
472
Sharpe Ratio
-1.07
Sortino Ratio
-1.55
Max Drawdown
34039.9%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
4.95
Kelly Fraction
0.528
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
024.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢18.182Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL82.0¢5.88Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢7.14Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢8.24Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢17.33Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢7.143Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.1¢9.87Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.2¢9.868Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢6.55Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢6.55Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢5.025Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢7.17Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.7¢7.165Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢8.16Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.0¢8.163Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.5¢10.05Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL67.0¢14.92Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ETBUY99.8¢8.016Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%9%70–80%8%80–90%66%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.34
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.2%
Win Consistency41.1%
Profit Factor0.63
Drawdown Resilience0.51
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity472 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5429d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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