hsdsfangyu045

0x1d9e82...0348ce

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.4%

Total P&L

+$10

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.79

Sortino Ratio

-0.57

Max Drawdown

584.2%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

388.85

Kelly Fraction

0.821

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	9.288	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	10.25	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	10.246	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.7¢	7.23	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.8¢	7.231	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	7.64	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	7.642	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	5.2	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	5.208	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.9¢	8.5	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.3¢	8.505	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.7¢	7.16	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.7¢	7.165	Mar 3
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?	BUY	97.8¢	1.329	Jan 19
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.2¢	3.43	Jan 19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	4.104	Jan 19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	93.0¢	1.935	Dec 17
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	BUY	97.7¢	1.433	Dec 17

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.64

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.2%

Win Consistency58.8%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity29 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$322d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue