huahuaqi

0x442a74...819187

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.60

Sortino Ratio

-2.90

Max Drawdown

76.4%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

6.85

Kelly Fraction

0.427

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.1¢	1.009	Mar 4
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	98.8¢	1.012	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	1.03	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	1.038	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	BUY	88.0¢	1.136	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	1.028	Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	2.006	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	20	Mar 4
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?	SELL	99.3¢	2	Mar 4
Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?	SELL	99.3¢	2.01	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	SELL	99.5¢	30	Mar 4
Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?	BUY	99.2¢	2.016	Mar 3
Will XRP reach $3.20 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	2.006	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	30	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	79.0¢	1.266	Mar 3
Ethereum Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	88.0¢	1.136	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	96.2¢	1.02	Mar 3
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	2.02	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Feb 25
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	20	Feb 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.7%

Win Consistency35.0%

Profit Factor0.99

Drawdown Resilience0.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity30 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$641d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue